Practical forecasting for managers / (Record no. 38166)
[ view plain ]
000 -LEADER | |
---|---|
fixed length control field | 02834cam a2200217 a 4500 |
020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER | |
ISBN | 9780340762387 |
020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER | |
ISBN | 0340762381 |
082 00 - DEWEY DECIMAL CLASSIFICATION NUMBER | |
Classification number | 658.40355 |
Item number | NAS |
100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--AUTHOR NAME | |
Personal name | Nash, John C., |
245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT | |
Title | Practical forecasting for managers / |
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. (IMPRINT) | |
Place of publication | London : |
Name of publisher | Arnold ; |
Place of publication | New York : |
Name of publisher | Oxford University Press, |
Year of publication | 2001. |
300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION | |
Number of Pages | xvi, 296 p. : |
Other physical details | illustrations ; |
505 ## - FORMATTED CONTENTS NOTE | |
Formatted contents note | Ch. 1. Why forecast? --<br/>Ch. 2. Planning the forecasting task --<br/>Ch. 3. Measuring how well forecasting goals are met. Part 1 --<br/>Ch. 4. Data search, gathering, documentation and management --<br/>Ch. 5. Qualitative forecasting: long-term --<br/>Ch. 6. Semi-quantitative methods --<br/>Ch. 7. Forecasting, Risk, and Strategic Management --<br/>Ch. 8. Measuring how well forecasting goals are met. Part 2 --<br/>Ch. 9. Preliminary data analysis for forecasting --<br/>Ch. 10. The preliminary forecast: concepts and examples --<br/>Ch. 11. A strategy for performing forecasting data analysis --<br/>Ch. 12. Forecasting trend and season I: Multiple regression --<br/>Ch. 13. Forecasting trend and season II: Smoothing methods --<br/>Ch. 14. Forecasting trend and season III: Time series decomposition --<br/>Ch. 15. ARIMA and related models for forecasting --<br/>Ch. 16. Using ARIMA models: other issues and examples --<br/>Ch. 17. Comparing and combining forecasts --<br/>Ch. 18. Variations on the theme of seasonal adjustment --<br/>Ch. 19. Mixed and extended models --<br/>Ch. 20. Nonlinear regression modelling --<br/>Ch. 21. Artificial neural networks --<br/>Ch. 22. Building the forecast report. |
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC. | |
Summary, etc | The key emphasis of this book is on the practical application of ideas, focusing on straightforward ideas that can be understood, explained, and put into action. More advanced methods are covered, but they are treated in the general context of forecasting and are easily understood and useable. Topics of stategic interest, such as long-term and qualitative forecasting for use in planning new products and services, as well as tactical and short-term quantitiative forecasting are presented in a clear and logical style. Many small tools and tricks to ease the job of actually preparing forecasts, expecially concerning the use of computers, are included and calculations are illustrated using spreadsheet software and a statistical package that is available on the internet.<br/><br/>In making decisions, we all make forecasts. We may not think that we are forecasting, but our choices will be directed by our anticipation of results of our actions or omissions. This book aims to help managers improve their forecasting skills. |
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
Topical Term | Business forecasting. |
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
Topical Term | Management. |
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
Personal name | Nash, Mary M. |
856 42 - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS | |
Uniform Resource Identifier | http://www.loc.gov/catdir/enhancements/fy0637/2002265590-d.html |
856 41 - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS | |
Uniform Resource Identifier | http://www.loc.gov/catdir/enhancements/fy0637/2002265590-t.html |
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA) | |
Koha item type | Reference Books |
Collection code | Home library | Current library | Shelving location | Date acquired | Source of acquisition | Cost, normal purchase price | Full call number | Accession Number | Koha item type |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Reference | Main Library | Main Library | Reference | 09/01/2004 | Purchased | 2085.00 | 658.40355 NAS | 008152 | Reference Books |
Reference | Main Library | Main Library | Stacks | 26/03/2004 | Purchased | 2685.00 | 658.40355 NAS | 008738 | Lending Books |