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Decision making and forecasting : with emphasis on model building and policy analysis

By: Marshall, Kneale TContributor(s): Oliver, Robert MMaterial type: Text

TextPublication details: New York : McGraw-Hill, c1995Description: xviii, 407 p. : illustrationsISBN: 9780070480278 ; 0070480273 ; 9780071139700; 0071139702 Subject(s): Decision making | Operations researchDDC classification: 658.4033 Online resources: Click here to access online | Click here to access online

Contents:

1. Basic Concepts -- 2. Using Baseline Forecasts -- 3. Forecasts for Decision Models -- 4. Model Building -- 5. Model Analysis -- 6. Subjective Measures and Utility -- 7. Multiattribute Problems -- 8. Forecast Performance -- 9. Advanced Concepts.

Summary: This book discusses how to design the most important features of realistic decision problems into analytical models that reveal their structure and give insight. Emphasis is on model formulation using graphical techniques with influence diagrams and decision trees. Decision Making and Forecasting shows how forecasting must be integrated with decision making in a coherent manner and makes frequent use of the economic value of forecasts.

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Item type	Current library	Collection	Call number	Status	Date due	Barcode	Item holds
Reference Books	Main Library Reference	Reference	658.4033 MAR (Browse shelf(Opens below))	Available		009736
Reference Books	Main Library Reference	Reference	658.4033 MAR (Browse shelf(Opens below))	Available		009688

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1. Basic Concepts --
2. Using Baseline Forecasts --
3. Forecasts for Decision Models --
4. Model Building --
5. Model Analysis --
6. Subjective Measures and Utility --
7. Multiattribute Problems --
8. Forecast Performance --
9. Advanced Concepts.

This book discusses how to design the most important features of realistic decision problems into analytical models that reveal their structure and give insight. Emphasis is on model formulation using graphical techniques with influence diagrams and decision trees. Decision Making and Forecasting shows how forecasting must be integrated with decision making in a coherent manner and makes frequent use of the economic value of forecasts.

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